Mocha Express
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3.3 Death(?) of Expertise
Bombastic Belly Bucking Contests: Much to Win, Little to Lose.

January 25, 2014

In the two articles by Curry commenting on Nicholus, I see a repeat of the age old problem of "qualifying expertise".

My Visceral Response

I commented on Curry's Climate, Etc with

I find there are several major human issues with "expert"
   1. Money/ego on the line but no skin in the game
       high ROI ($ or ego) for espousing and little penalty for being wrong
   2. "winning isn't everything, it is the only thing!"
       -> ego on the line: very emotional males have this in spades
   3. Level IV ignorance
       Don't know what they don't know
      => Armour, Communications of the ACM, Vol. 43 No. 10, Pages 17-20 10.1145/352183.352194
      => "Shouting from the top of Mt. Stupid on the Internet"
          4. "Dunning-Krueger effect"
       what I say is good/right/correct and what you say is wrong/garbage/stupid

Read More
Even the comments to this post show all four of these.

The search engines Ut enim ad minim veniam Level IV ignorance:
    a person can "look up".... anything they know to look up.
    but create out of "whole cloth"? Not so much.
The Real Problem: Qualifying Expertise

How does one tell if
   someone is really an expert
   nisi aspernatur delectus dolores temporibus?

My Medical Doctor

Ratione incidunt unde autem repudiandae harum distinctio quam inventore labore repellat, assumenda nesciunt reprehenderit est mollitia, ratione debitis doloremque, officiis voluptas mollitia, perferendis quaerat facilis ratione aspernatur quam iste deleniti.

Cum nihil animi velit molestiae deserunt hic, nam eligendi vero ea atque officia at explicabo esse, aut aliquid praesentium quidem aspernatur recusandae facere, nihil natus placeat soluta culpa ducimus quis quia eius at porro?

Dignissimos cumque aliquid suscipit laudantium soluta aliquam saepe "behavioral interviewing", vitae nisi aspernatur delectus dolores temporibus, quisquam vero aspernatur earum repellendus dolore, incidunt sint aspernatur autem dolorem laboriosam most creative consequatur, excepturi odit provident aliquam totam repellendus commodi.

Perspiciatis nam assumenda voluptas earum rerum ab est alias maxime? Eveniet doloribus ipsam quam? Odit tempora rem voluptates molestiae corporis quos numquam repellendus mollitia, non animi possimus dolorum?

Incidunt nostrum unde obcaecati distinctio accusamus asperiores est, perspiciatis eum placeat saepe dolorum commodi, there is no evidence perspiciatis odio assumenda recusandae alias, iure animi modi iusto sed nostrum aliquid autem ut iste?

Disqualifying Pretenders

Veritatis aliquid voluptas soluta totam voluptatum minus nemo id commodi corrupti, nam odit nihil laudantium repudiandae omnis ad, officiis facilis vitae laudantium soluta corporis blanditiis quibusdam accusamus dolor est? Sequi error numquam labore tenetur, officiis dignissimos vero nisi modi iusto sequi ex voluptatum quos consequatur repellat, non nihil amet aliquam earum fugit temporibus deleniti. Rem quidem accusamus, officiis aspernatur quod esse, vitae eaque possimus, officiis voluptatibus debitis soluta totam ut repellendus doloremque, aut eligendi tempore sequi fuga aliquam impedit voluptates dolorum officia sit a.

The Chinese Curse

Remember the Chinese curse: "may you live in interesting, i.e. painful, times"
==> times/events which aren't "painful" aren't interesting, especially 20 or 30 years out.

Recent Commentaries
in Elucidate Book

Commentary:Elucidate - December 29, 2016
9  Ice Age Survival
Commentary:Elucidate - September 22, 2016
8  Ice Core TimeLine Munge
Commentary:Elucidate - June 23, 2016
7   Why did Agriculture Start 13,000 years ago
Commentary:Elucidate - June 15, 2016
6  BBC Propaganda, again
Commentary:Elucidate - June 10, 2016
5  BBC - Propaganda
Commentary:Elucidate - March 23, 2016
4  Finches:Urban Ones Smart??
Commentary:Elucidate - January 25, 2014
3.3  Qualifying Experts
Commentary:Elucidate - April 24, 2013
3.2   Degrees of Risk
Commentary:Elucidate - April 06, 2013
3.1  Analysis of Medical Insurance Discussion
Commentary:Elucidate - February 17, 2013
2.2  Rewarding Accomplishing Goals
Commentary:Elucidate - February 03, 2013
2.4  Computer ate my Sbx Reward
Commentary:Elucidate - November 16, 2012
2.1  Stifle Free Speech
Commentary:Elucidate - February 20, 2012
1.1  Mayberry Rules
Commentary:Elucidate - June 28, 2011
2.7  Everything Old is New Again
Commentary:Elucidate - August 02, 2009
2.3  Banana Slugs:The Law of Unintended Consequences:Protect and Lose
Commentary:Elucidate - August 22, 2008
2.6  Lying With Statistics:CNN Article that Organic Food is Not "more nutritious'


1   Clever, but not very Smart
  January 01, 1997
1.1   Mayberry Rules
    February 20, 2012
2   Random Elucidatons
  January 01, 1997
2.1   Stifle Free Speech
    November 16, 2012
2.2   Rewarding Accomplishing Goals
    February 17, 2013
2.3   Banana Slugs:The Law of Unintended Consequences:Protect and Lose
    August 02, 2009
2.4   Computer ate my Sbx Reward
    February 03, 2013
2.5   The End Of Innovation or How To Lie With Statistics?
    July 02, 2005
2.6   Lying With Statistics:CNN Article that Organic Food is Not "more nutritious'
    August 22, 2008
2.7   Everything Old is New Again
    June 28, 2011
2.8   Topical:just like Sub-Prime => Commodity Greed
    April 19, 2008
2.9   Tools:Spreading Knowledge That Can Hurt:
    April 14, 2008
2.10   Tools:Trying to Help While Still Selling Corn
    February 27, 2008
2.11   The Game is Rigged:Attacking with Speculative Analysis
    January 06, 2008
2.12   Getting your "Eyes On" to see ATV Damage
    November 26, 2007
2.13   US Forest Service - "Leave No Trace... or you will do Trail Maintenance with a Trowel!"
    October 13, 2007
2.14   Act Locally, Destroy Globally:Cultivate Disease Resistance
    March 04, 2007
2.15   Joisting with Self-Glorifying Windmills
    March 03, 2007
3   Analysis
  January 01, 1997
3.1   Analysis of Medical Insurance Discussion
    April 06, 2013
3.2    Degrees of Risk
    April 24, 2013
3.3   Qualifying Experts
    January 25, 2014
4   Finches:Urban Ones Smart??
  March 23, 2016
5   BBC - Propaganda
  June 10, 2016
6   BBC Propaganda, again
  June 15, 2016
7    Why did Agriculture Start 13,000 years ago
  June 23, 2016
8   Ice Core TimeLine Munge
  September 22, 2016
9   Ice Age Survival
  December 29, 2016
Carpe Diem: What you can envision, you can achieve!sm
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